Saturday, November 04, 2006

My Final Prognostication


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Originally uploaded by Randuwa.
On the cusp of what will be one of the most interesting, potentially corrupted, and therefore controversial midterm elections in the history of the United States, I offer this final analysis of where things stand in the House of Representative Congressional contests. It will, no doubt, be obsolete before anyone gets a chance to consider it as more districts churn in and out of various camps and Americans become both more excited and more anxious about Tuesday's election.

SOME Specific thoughts.

#1) Watch the Mountain West. In recent years far more RED than even the south with the notable exception of 3 out of the "4 corners" districts, and the tide is shifting. The epicenter of change appears to be Colorado, and this week's revelation of the Rev. Ted Haggard's Drugging and Adulterous misdeeds isn't gonna stem the tied. I'm calling for 3 seats to change to the Dems in Colorado. And from there Democrats stand to pick up a seat each in New Mexico and Arizona. Watch closely either the wins or narrow margins of defeat in Idaho and Wyoming. Next, and, of perhaps more important long term effects on the political future, are the governorships: Democrat incumbents in Arizona, New Mexico and Wyoming are safe bets to win reelection; and Democrats are leading or completely tied in Colorado, Nevada and Idaho. Finally, Montana's governor is a Democrat who is not up for reelection this year. Can you say, "near SWEEP?" (poor little lonely, Utah....)

#2) Indiana is looking like it's congressional delegation will go from 2 DEMs and 6 REPs to 5 DEMs and 3 REPs. Woo Woo Hoosiers!

#3) Other states on the verge of shift their political majority from Republican to Democrat include: Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Carolina, New Mexico (and afore mentioned Colorado; and Ohio could easily end up split down the middle 9 to 9.

#4) And what is the most exciting aspect of this? The end of tyranny. The return to compromise, consensus and gridlock! Whoever said, "Divided we fall...." wasn't talking about the Federal government.

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