Looking at the 5th region with vulnerable candidates takes
us to New England and a region with fertile ground for Democratic
takeovers. It's also a pair of
races full of deja vu.
A) New Hampshire's 1st district is a ping pong contest as
lively and as likely to go back the Democratic Candidate as Illinois' 10th
District Seat. Republican Frank
Gunta wins this seat in mind-term and Republican wave years, and Democrat Carol
Ann Porter takes it back in Presidential and Democratic wave years. It's Porter's turn and with New
Hampshire trending for the Democrats at all levels--it's going to be a year
with a Congressional delegation that is 100% Democratic AND 100% female. It will be the second congress in the
history of this nation where New Hampshire was represented by all women, and
the first where all the women are Democrats.
B) Maine's 2nd seat is a rematch election from the previous
round with first term incumbent Republican Representative Bruce Poliquin will
face off against Democrat Emily Ann Cain.
Poliquin is a moderate Republican who still votes in the majority of the
time with conservative, obstructionist colleagues in the Republican Party. Cain is the former highest-ranking
member of the Maine state legislature who offers a more progressive agenda to
Maine voters. The 2nd seat's
demographics place Poliquin out of sync in a seat where Democrats outnumber
Republicans. I give this one to
Cain.
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